I would like to provide you with advice and specific recommendations for making money
on the stock exchange (consulting capital management). The final decision on the trade transaction is made by you. My interest is to receive a reward for success, while providing a much greater profit to the VIP client. My interest is 15% of net capital gains (the client pays the required taxes himself). All possible losses are on the client's side. Investment ideas are offered to the client and carefully discussed and strategies are calculated.
I am a certified stockbroker with a PhD in Economics and have been a trader myself since 2005 at the MICEX (Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange). Main experience and interest are preservation and capital gains during financial crises.
on the stock exchange (consulting capital management). The final decision on the trade transaction is made by you. My interest is to receive a reward for success, while providing a much greater profit to the VIP client. My interest is 15% of net capital gains (the client pays the required taxes himself). All possible losses are on the client's side. Investment ideas are offered to the client and carefully discussed and strategies are calculated.
I am a certified stockbroker with a PhD in Economics and have been a trader myself since 2005 at the MICEX (Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange). Main experience and interest are preservation and capital gains during financial crises.
Example 2. 2015, in a few months the euro/dollar fell from 1.6 to 1.2. There is a so-called devaluation map, on which all the currencies of the countries of the world are displayed in colors, the more they fell against the US dollar, the more they are painted in red. And we see that everything has been red-purple for a long time (Russia has collapsed the exchange rate of 30-80 for example and is painted in light purple) and on this map all countries have 20-100% devaluation shown for the period, and the UK 3%. We understand that the pound will fly down very soon, because it is not profitable to keep a strong pound when the European Union has already weakened the euro by 25% across the English Channel. It takes literally 1-2 weeks and the Pound drops by its 20-24% in just a few days. Such obvious upsides in the market must be seen and positions gained. And also understand the interests of countries and their economies in them competition for sales in commodity markets.
Among other things, it is necessary to know in which price ranges for extremes a particular instrument is worth, where its values are critically low and where they are critically high (without relative inflation for 10 years, literally just the price in dollars). For example (1), critically low values for Brent oil are $ 15-25, and critically high values are 120-130. It is clear that when approaching and even more entering these price ranges, it is possible to form large positions in the opposite direction.
Thesis: the ball will fly to where the determining force directs it and as far as this cumulative force is powerful.
!!! BUT first of all, of course, the analysis is based on an understanding the interrelationships in the economy, for example, if the Federal Reserve has planned to raise rates and curtail QE, then this will inevitably lead to a fall in the stock market and temporary deflation. I think the conclusions of some experts about stagflation in the coming years are erroneous, despite the fact that inflationary impulses have intensified so far. The key here is "so far". It is necessary to link the actual events causally, analyze what is happening, formulate a forecast and form a large trading position in the financial markets. (However, taking into account that they can temporarily take %s in the opposite direction by some amount, in this case it is simply necessary to defend the position, but not to strengthen it!).
In any case, laws were obviously passed with a clear text that the event itself was inevitable! Even some humorous videos (TNT Comedy club/Simpsons and so on) with the right analysis, give some addition to an understanding of the development of events for 1-2 years ahead. The inevitability of the outbreak of the war can also be seen in the adopted annual budgets of states and the analysis of the dynamics and the composition of expenditure items of the state budget.
(For example, it was possible to understand that food products – commodities – would
grow in price already in 2020, comparing that Covid is the first horseman of the apocalypse"PLAGUE"). For reference 2: The War (02/24/2022) - the exact date was quite obvious with a conditional probability of 99%. (1. Everything has been going to that since 1991, 2. Zhirinovsky – Russian famous politician directly named the date February 22 (in a populist style)–an error of 2 days. 3. There are video-records of prophecies of the Bulgarian seer Vanga dated the 1990s, Vanga mentioned that on the day of five deuces, it is 02/24/2022). And the third horseman is "hunger" prerequisites for a strong growth of agricultural commodities in the markets (besides the obvious factor of war in the countries of the 2 largest grain producers)
grow in price already in 2020, comparing that Covid is the first horseman of the apocalypse"PLAGUE"). For reference 2: The War (02/24/2022) - the exact date was quite obvious with a conditional probability of 99%. (1. Everything has been going to that since 1991, 2. Zhirinovsky – Russian famous politician directly named the date February 22 (in a populist style)–an error of 2 days. 3. There are video-records of prophecies of the Bulgarian seer Vanga dated the 1990s, Vanga mentioned that on the day of five deuces, it is 02/24/2022). And the third horseman is "hunger" prerequisites for a strong growth of agricultural commodities in the markets (besides the obvious factor of war in the countries of the 2 largest grain producers)
The money manager needs some combination of past very unsuccessful and successful experiences, and on that basis gained experience and sufficient capital to act on. Capital adequacy will provide an opportunity to reduce the management risk (there is no need to apply extreme margin positions in obvious situations, since the market can still be moved to some extent in the opposite direction, even with the aim of simply “unloading passengers from the position”. This often happens, right before a trend move in the correct predicted direction).
In the financial markets, there are almost always instruments and situations that have not been there for many years. It is important to have sufficient experience and knowledge in order to see these opportunities, understand the short-term perspective, and prepare sufficient capital to enter a position. There is nothing worse than not taking advantage or weakly taking advantage of a situation that will not happen again, perhaps for the next 5-10 years. Some events are so cyclical that even once every 20-25 years they happen with a revaluation of assets, where it is possible to get X* X multiple capital gains for several years and literally 3-5 reconciled transactions (1998 in Russia).
insights
There is enough time for analysis and actions, because although historical events have
noticeably accelerated, it is still weeks and months for the actions of managed capital. No matter how the processes accelerate, the markets are inert. The only thing is that sometimes you need to make decisions here and now, for example, when oil costs $ 17. There are literally a few hours to decide and form positions, a maximum of 1-2 days. Even a $20 entry is already ~20% worse than a quick decision. With large capital, however, it will probably still take 1-2-3 days to form positions. This is not scary, because then the price will still go to the upper limit of extreme values, where the assets taken must be reset and positions formed in the opposite direction.
noticeably accelerated, it is still weeks and months for the actions of managed capital. No matter how the processes accelerate, the markets are inert. The only thing is that sometimes you need to make decisions here and now, for example, when oil costs $ 17. There are literally a few hours to decide and form positions, a maximum of 1-2 days. Even a $20 entry is already ~20% worse than a quick decision. With large capital, however, it will probably still take 1-2-3 days to form positions. This is not scary, because then the price will still go to the upper limit of extreme values, where the assets taken must be reset and positions formed in the opposite direction.
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The formation of positions by large capital and the impulse development of price movement can also be compared with potential and kinetic energy. It is important to understand where the area of price consolidation, the formation of large positions will be. It is necessary to form your own large positions, if possible, at levels ideally even lower than the price consolidation ranges and then hold positions to the average values, or to the opposite extreme range. This can provide X-fold capital gains.
Specialized analytical software, such as the VolFix program, is sometimes used to assess the power of movement. In it, you can see what volumes were at certain levels of the price range.
Practical experience for analyzing the market situation should be accompanied by knowledge of world history, some precise knowledge in the field of "conspiracy theory", an accurate understanding of the interrelationships in the economy between individual financial instruments, an understanding of geopolitical and geo-economic processes. A broad outlook
certainly does not interfere, including an assessment of indirect indicators, no matter how it sounds, EVEN Biblical prophecies with reference to upcoming (sometimes already current) events.
certainly does not interfere, including an assessment of indirect indicators, no matter how it sounds, EVEN Biblical prophecies with reference to upcoming (sometimes already current) events.